Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Current Probability
16.5%
24h Change
-1.5 pp
Signal Score
49/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 1.5pp; volume is 6.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 1.5pp
- 24h volume is 6.3x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $15,719
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
16.5%
24h Change
-1.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-4.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$84.0K
Volume vs Baseline
6.3x baseline
Liquidity
$15.7K
Market Significance
Moderate (68)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Attention Score
68
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.