US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Current Probability
0.5%
24h Change
-98.2 pp
Signal Score
89/100
Data Confidence
High (89)
24h probability fell 98.2pp; volume is 2.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 98.2pp
- 24h volume is 2.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $31,549
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.5%
24h Change
-98.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-97.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$414.0K
Volume vs Baseline
2.7x baseline
Liquidity
$31.5K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Attention Score
79
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 89/100.