US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
-88.3 pp
Signal Score
100/100
Data Confidence
High (90)
24h probability fell 88.2pp; volume is 8.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 88.2pp
- 24h volume is 8.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $666,652
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.3%
24h Change
-88.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-89.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$811.1K
Volume vs Baseline
8.4x baseline
Liquidity
$666.7K
Market Significance
High (79)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Attention Score
100
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 100/100.