US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-79.4 pp
Signal Score
84/100
Data Confidence
High (88)
24h probability fell 79.4pp; volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 79.4pp
- 24h volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $91,601
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-79.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-78.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$113.4K
Volume vs Baseline
1.9x baseline
Liquidity
$91.6K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Attention Score
68
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.