Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.8%

24h Change

+49.8 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability rose 49.8pp

Market data

Updated 34 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-20 14:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $58,461
  • Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

99.8%

24h Change

+49.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$112.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$58.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 20, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 41
Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.