Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?
Current Probability
28.3%
24h Change
+27.1 pp
Signal Score
80/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability rose 27.1pp; volume is 257.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 27.1pp
- 24h volume is 257.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($1,462)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
28.3%
24h Change
+27.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$75.4K
Volume vs Baseline
257.8x baseline
Liquidity
$1.5K
Market Significance
Moderate (61)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Attention Score
92
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 80/100.