Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Current Probability
28.0%
24h Change
+7.0 pp
Signal Score
55/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability rose 7.0pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 7.0pp
- 24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $6,442
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
28.0%
24h Change
+7.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$89.9K
Volume vs Baseline
4.5x baseline
Liquidity
$6.4K
Market Significance
Moderate (68)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 38 days
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.