Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

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Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+49.9 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 49.9pp

Market data

Updated 30 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-21 14:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $135,800
  • Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

99.9%

24h Change

+49.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$354.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$135.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 21, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 41
Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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