US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
-69.2 pp
Signal Score
98/100
Data Confidence
High (88)
24h probability fell 69.2pp; volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 69.2pp
- 24h volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $103,900
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.3%
24h Change
-69.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-68.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$105.8K
Volume vs Baseline
4.8x baseline
Liquidity
$103.9K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 38 days
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 98/100.