Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-35.4 pp
Signal Score
70/100
Data Confidence
High (76)
24h probability fell 35.4pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $69,222
- High data confidence (76)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (4d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-35.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
4d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-19.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$134.7K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$69.2K
Market Significance
High (73)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 24, 2026
Attention Score
48
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.