Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-19.4 pp
Signal Score
74/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability fell 19.4pp; volume is 17.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 19.4pp
- 24h volume is 17.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $117,291
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-19.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$248.3K
Volume vs Baseline
17.9x baseline
Liquidity
$117.3K
Market Significance
High (83)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Attention Score
88
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.