Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?

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Current Probability

1.1%

24h Change

-16.4 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 16.4pp

Market data

Updated 28 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-26 22:56 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $17,169
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

1.1%

24h Change

-16.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$90.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$17.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 25, 2026

Attention Score

33

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 55
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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