Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

52.0%

24h Change

-15.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 15.0pp

Market data

Updated 27 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-28 06:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $54,964
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (4d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

52.0%

24h Change

-15.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

4d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$87.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$55.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 50
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 46
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.