Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
Current Probability
54.5%
24h Change
+30.5 pp
Signal Score
78/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability rose 30.5pp; volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 30.5pp
- 24h volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($3,403)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
54.5%
24h Change
+30.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-5.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$76.4K
Volume vs Baseline
3.6x baseline
Liquidity
$3.4K
Market Significance
Moderate (64)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Attention Score
85
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 78/100.