Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

18.5%

24h Change

+5.5 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability rose 5.5pp

Market data

Updated 23 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-31 22:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $11,183
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (5d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

18.5%

24h Change

+5.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

5d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$113.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 18
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 67
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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