Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

51.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 157.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 10:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 1.0pp
24h volume is 157.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $418,780

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

51.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

164 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$490.3K

Volume vs Baseline

157.6x baseline

Liquidity

$418.8K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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