Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-28.4 pp
Signal Score
96/100
Data Confidence
High (88)
24h probability fell 28.4pp; volume is 7.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 28.4pp
- 24h volume is 7.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $91,716
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-28.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-25.9 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$171.6K
Volume vs Baseline
7.8x baseline
Liquidity
$91.7K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 96/100.