Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Current Probability
3.3%
24h Change
-11.2 pp
Signal Score
61/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability fell 11.2pp; volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 11.2pp
- 24h volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($3,986)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
3.3%
24h Change
-11.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$150.0K
Volume vs Baseline
11.7x baseline
Liquidity
$4.0K
Market Significance
Moderate (66)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Attention Score
77
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.