Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-3.1 pp
Signal Score
49/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability fell 3.1pp; volume is 10.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 3.1pp
- 24h volume is 10.0x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $45,657
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-3.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$114.8K
Volume vs Baseline
10.0x baseline
Liquidity
$45.7K
Market Significance
High (71)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Attention Score
71
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.