Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?

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Current Probability

20.5%

24h Change

-29.5 pp

Signal Score

60/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 29.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 24 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-31 08:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $19,368
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

20.5%

24h Change

-29.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$80.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.

Probability Momentum 98
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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