Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?

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Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 6.0pp; volume is 230.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-13 15:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 6.0pp
24h volume is 230.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $196,606

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

40.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 13, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/13/2026, 3:45:00 PM	40.5%
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 11:15:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/13/2026, 4:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$1.6M

Volume vs Baseline

230.0x baseline

Liquidity

$196.6K

Market Significance

High (87)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 20

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 100

Persistence 80

Data Confidence High (88)

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