Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?

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Current Probability

11.9%

24h Change

-41.1 pp

Signal Score

60/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 41.1pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 18 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-02 14:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $27,918
  • Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

11.9%

24h Change

-41.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$193.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$27.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 2, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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