Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-14 19:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $93,725

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Sep 14, 07:00 PM

29% 32% 33% Sep 13 Sep 14 Sep 14 Sep 14 Current 31.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

25 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 14, 07:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM 31.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM 30.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM 30.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 12:15:00 PM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 4:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 3:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 2:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM 32.5%
9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM 32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$381.2K

Volume vs Baseline

11.7x baseline

Liquidity

$93.7K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 14, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.