Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-2.8 pp
Signal Score
50/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 2.8pp; volume is 13.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 2.8pp
- 24h volume is 13.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $32,117
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-2.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$696.7K
Volume vs Baseline
13.8x baseline
Liquidity
$32.1K
Market Significance
High (83)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Attention Score
72
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.