Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Current Probability
26.5%
24h Change
-10.0 pp
Signal Score
65/100
Data Confidence
High (86)
24h probability fell 10.0pp; volume is 8.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 10.0pp
- 24h volume is 8.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($3,308)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
26.5%
24h Change
-10.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-13.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$142.6K
Volume vs Baseline
8.7x baseline
Liquidity
$3.3K
Market Significance
Moderate (65)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Attention Score
76
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.