Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

80.5%

24h Change

+27.0 pp

Signal Score

80/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 27.0pp; volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 27.0pp
  • 24h volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $71,428

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

80.5%

24h Change

+27.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-7.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$80.9K

Volume vs Baseline

5.2x baseline

Liquidity

$71.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

95

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 80/100.

Probability Momentum 90
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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