Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.2pp; volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 11:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.2pp
24h volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $123,158

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

109 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.2%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.2%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.2%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$76.8K

Volume vs Baseline

2.5x baseline

Liquidity

$123.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 57

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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