Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.9%

24h Change

+0.8 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.8pp; volume is 2.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.8pp
24h volume is 2.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $53,820

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.9%

24h Change

+0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

66 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.9%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.9%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.6%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.6%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.5%
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM	0.7%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$116.1K

Volume vs Baseline

2.0x baseline

Liquidity

$53.8K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 44

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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