Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Current Probability
85.9%
24h Change
-11.5 pp
Signal Score
31/100
Data Confidence
Medium (68)
24h probability fell 11.5pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $6,485
- Medium data confidence (68)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (3d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
85.9%
24h Change
-11.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
3d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+72.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$132.7K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$6.5K
Market Significance
Moderate (67)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Attention Score
28
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.