Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-4.9 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 4.9pp; volume is 46.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 04:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 4.9pp
24h volume is 46.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $18,899

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-4.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

110 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 12:15:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.3%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.4%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.4%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$92.4K

Volume vs Baseline

46.7x baseline

Liquidity

$18.9K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 16

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗