Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?

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Current Probability

41.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 2.0pp; volume is 160.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 2.0pp
24h volume is 160.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $1,538,344

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

41.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

34 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM	40.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM	40.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM	40.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM	43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$211.2K

Volume vs Baseline

160.7x baseline

Liquidity

$1.5M

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (80)

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