Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?

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Current Probability

98.2%

24h Change

+18.6 pp

Signal Score

77/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 18.6pp; volume is 76.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 21:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 18.6pp
  • 24h volume is 76.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $99,081

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 98.2% · Sep 15, 09:00 PM

78% 89% 100% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 98.2% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

98.2%

24h Change

+18.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

79 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 98.2%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 91.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 11:15:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 82.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 81.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 80.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 79.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+6.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$2.7M

Volume vs Baseline

76.2x baseline

Liquidity

$99.1K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

89

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 77/100.

Probability Momentum 62
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 61
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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