Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

Signal Score

60/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 13.0pp; volume is 263.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 21:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 13.0pp
  • 24h volume is 263.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $53,100

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Sep 15, 09:00 PM

36% 44% 52% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 50.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

39 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.0%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 38.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$214.7K

Volume vs Baseline

263.4x baseline

Liquidity

$53.1K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

81

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.

Probability Momentum 43
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.