Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

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Current Probability

32.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

Signal Score

84/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 20.0pp; volume is 495.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-15 21:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 20.0pp
  • 24h volume is 495.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $56,746

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 32.5% · Sep 15, 09:00 PM

30% 44% 58% Sep 14 Sep 15 Sep 15 Sep 15 Current 32.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

32.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

36 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 15, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM 32.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$192.1K

Volume vs Baseline

495.0x baseline

Liquidity

$56.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 15, 2026

Attention Score

88

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.

Probability Momentum 67
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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