Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.6%

24h Change

+5.1 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 5.1pp; volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 04:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 5.1pp
24h volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $109,425

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.6%

24h Change

+5.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

116 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.4%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 12:15:00 PM	99.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.6%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM	96.3%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM	94.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$103.1K

Volume vs Baseline

3.1x baseline

Liquidity

$109.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 24, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 17

Volume Activity 70

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 41

Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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