Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?
Current Probability
3.1%
24h Change
-48.4 pp
Signal Score
64/100
Data Confidence
Medium (62)
24h probability fell 48.4pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $16,119
- Medium data confidence (62)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
3.1%
24h Change
-48.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
2d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$134.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$16.1K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Attention Score
47
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.