Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-53.5 pp

Signal Score

88/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 53.5pp; volume is 731.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 22:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 53.5pp
24h volume is 731.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $281,048

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-53.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

80 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 16, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/16/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM	67.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM	59.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM	59.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM	59.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM	59.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM	56.5%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/16/2026, 6:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 3:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM	53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$483.5K

Volume vs Baseline

731.3x baseline

Liquidity

$281.0K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 88/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (82)

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