Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+2.3 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 2.3pp; volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 22:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 2.3pp
24h volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $79,796

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+2.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

172 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 6:15:00 PM	99.8%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.8%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 1:15:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.7%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.5%
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM	99.3%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.1%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.1%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM	99.1%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.2%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM	98.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$117.2K

Volume vs Baseline

1.4x baseline

Liquidity

$79.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 23, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 8

Volume Activity 19

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 44

Data Confidence High (83)

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