S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 47.4pp

Market data

Updated 19 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-04 22:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $23,075
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (1d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

1d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$86.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 4, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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