Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability fell 26.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-06 16:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $90,187
  • Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (3d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-26.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$115.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$90.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 6, 2026

Attention Score

45

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 88
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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