Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-11.5 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 11.5pp

Market data

Updated 18 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-06 16:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $65,469
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (3d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-11.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$86.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$65.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 6, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 38
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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