Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

91/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability rose 49.5pp; volume is 2780.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-17 21:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 49.5pp
  • 24h volume is 2780.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $298,664

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 17, 09:00 PM

34% 67% 100% Sep 16 Sep 17 Sep 17 Sep 17 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

101 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 17, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM 98.9%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM 40.0%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM 44.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.0%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.0%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.0%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.0%
9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$431.8K

Volume vs Baseline

2780.6x baseline

Liquidity

$298.7K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 17, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 91/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 41
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.