Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability fell 5.5pp; volume is 239.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 20:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 5.5pp
24h volume is 239.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $232,115

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

122 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 08:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.3%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	5.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	5.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$383.9K

Volume vs Baseline

239.7x baseline

Liquidity

$232.1K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 18

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 54

Data Confidence High (85)

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