Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability fell 2.5pp; volume is 230.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 20:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 2.5pp
  • 24h volume is 230.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $371,402

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 18, 08:30 PM

0% 3% 3% Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

145 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 08:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM 0.1%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.3%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 1.7%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 1.9%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.9%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 1.9%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 1.8%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 1.9%
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM 2.1%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 2.4%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 2.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 2.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 2.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 2.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$862.4K

Volume vs Baseline

230.0x baseline

Liquidity

$371.4K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

72

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 9
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 45
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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