Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?

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Current Probability

3.5%

24h Change

-37.0 pp

Signal Score

99/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 37.0pp; volume is 458.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 20:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 37.0pp
  • 24h volume is 458.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $136,916

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.5% · Sep 18, 08:30 PM

0% 22% 44% Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Current 3.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

3.5%

24h Change

-37.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 08:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM 3.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 34.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 35.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM 38.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 39.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 40.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-32.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$6.5M

Volume vs Baseline

458.5x baseline

Liquidity

$136.9K

Market Significance

High (87)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

100

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 99/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 92
Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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