Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Current Probability
33.5%
24h Change
-15.0 pp
Signal Score
70/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 15.0pp; volume is 8.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 15.0pp
- 24h volume is 8.0x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $7,947
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
33.5%
24h Change
-15.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-7.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$122.8K
Volume vs Baseline
8.0x baseline
Liquidity
$7.9K
Market Significance
Moderate (67)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Attention Score
81
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.