Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-18?

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Current Probability

20.0%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability fell 3.5pp; volume is 421.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 00:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 3.5pp
24h volume is 421.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $45,620

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

20.0%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	20.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	25.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	25.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	24.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	23.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$118.3K

Volume vs Baseline

421.1x baseline

Liquidity

$45.6K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 12

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 87

Data Confidence High (87)

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