Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-40.0 pp
Signal Score
90/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability fell 40.0pp; volume is 12.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 40.0pp
- 24h volume is 12.3x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $153,210
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-40.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$135.1K
Volume vs Baseline
12.3x baseline
Liquidity
$153.2K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Attention Score
98
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 90/100.