UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

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Current Probability

41.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 2.0pp; volume is 17.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 2.0pp
24h volume is 17.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $416,894

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

41.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

138 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	37.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$209.8K

Volume vs Baseline

17.3x baseline

Liquidity

$416.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

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