PR Prediction Radar

UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

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Current Probability

72.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

55/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 9.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 9.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $322,906

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 72.5% · Sep 19, 11:45 PM

72% 75% 74% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 72.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

72.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

135 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 72.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 73.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$172.8K

Volume vs Baseline

9.4x baseline

Liquidity

$322.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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